Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 30.392784 33.607126 37.182666 41.487474 46.573828 52.448631 5.983134e+01
2025-07-20 25.461729 29.612591 34.604082 41.167156 49.757400 60.906267 7.699225e+01
2025-07-27 22.422387 27.123707 33.139974 41.658068 53.870548 71.584296 1.010898e+02
2025-08-03 19.935251 24.848688 31.447936 41.368817 56.740169 81.401382 1.287466e+02
2025-08-10 17.984648 22.958376 29.905049 40.885373 59.090592 91.150832 1.621497e+02
2025-08-17 16.578036 21.607226 28.878357 40.908087 62.172225 103.268441 2.096017e+02
2025-08-24 15.308677 20.287185 27.689180 40.408009 64.161660 114.095805 2.648197e+02
2025-08-31 14.254355 19.162041 26.638245 39.923823 66.017374 125.480484 3.365781e+02
2025-09-07 13.359592 18.184683 25.694005 39.447111 67.743557 137.452862 4.315851e+02
2025-09-14 12.618406 17.373174 24.920657 39.141003 69.739737 151.286040 5.689806e+02
2025-09-21 11.904083 16.542903 24.026587 38.463542 70.738986 162.989184 7.362141e+02
2025-09-28 11.694150 16.494064 24.441968 40.378890 78.381040 201.438382 1.353290e+03
2025-10-05 11.168612 15.900976 23.867988 40.248867 81.031450 225.350140 2.170364e+03
2025-10-12 10.716695 15.397733 23.407829 40.294643 84.234197 255.350656 4.068690e+03
2025-10-19 10.387433 15.075809 23.244879 40.959608 89.471862 302.045515 1.210829e+04
2025-10-26 9.979842 14.591984 22.736513 40.776182 92.164262 340.196441 5.442995e+04
2025-11-02 9.578875 14.094217 22.159516 40.353852 94.017962 377.448256 1.442570e+07
2025-11-09 9.264299 13.727608 21.802979 40.402850 97.523740 434.529159 NaN
2025-11-16 8.917029 13.283117 21.259560 39.925616 99.082647 481.522843 NaN
2025-11-23 8.596585 12.869105 20.745796 39.457017 100.579416 534.112691 NaN
2025-11-30 8.299336 12.481423 20.257193 38.992154 101.997019 592.894049 NaN
2025-12-07 8.038520 12.146546 19.851927 38.693136 104.036593 669.718376 NaN
2025-12-14 7.760103 11.766611 19.330231 38.028040 104.394356 729.089999 NaN